Zach Ertz (2020)
5 years in a row with 100+ targets, 75% catch rate, almost never injured (for a TE) - except of course during the 2019 Fantasy Finals. Contract safe, still the #1 on the Eagles, what's not to like?
This guy has been TE9, TE6, TE3, TE2, TE5. Four straight years of 100+ targets. 14+games every season. Zach Ertz.
So Ertz is fairly bullet proof (except in week 16 2019 when he got a cracked rib and a lacerated kidney and couldn't play on, wuss).
I wondered if maybe we can simply draft Dallas Goedert as a Ertz lite:
With Ertz injured, Goedert took over pretty much without skipping a beat. Also, it's clear Goedert did get a bigger target share, but he's also clearly not yet at Ertz's level (or wasn't in 2019).
It is possible the other receivers (as in - the actual receivers) will have a bit more of a target share; however Pedersen believes in WRBC (receiver by committee) and his receivers rarely have 1000 yd seasons.
All in all, I guess Ertz will have another solid season (barring injuries): 100+ targets, 80+ recs, 900+ yards, 6+ TDs. It's not really rocket science - the only question is whether you're willing to pay a 4th round pick for him.
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