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Showing posts from August, 2019

Fantasy Theory: How does losing your QB affect the TE/RBs? The Colts without Luck

Unfortunately Andrew Luck retired. As I happen to own in various leagues both Mack and Ebron, I was curious: how does teams react when they lose their star QB. Do they rush more? Do they use their TEs more?

Excel: Pretty Charts

How do you create pretty pictures in Excel from raw, fairly unorganised data? Well... this is where the magic happens.

Fantasy Theory: 1000/1000 seasons

So far, only 2 RBs have ever achieved a "1000/1000" season, meaning 1000 yards both rushing and receiving: Roger Craig in 1985 and Marshall Faulk in 1999. Should we expect this to happen more often in the modern NFL?

Fantasy Theory: How many should you draft per position?

How many RBs should you draft if you can play only 2? How many WRs if you can play 3? How many QBs and TEs where you play 1? Can we approach this from a purely theoretical point of view?

Fantasy Theory: The Age of Players (cont: Hall Of Fame edition)

We have already established that receivers have their peak on average around age 27, and rushers a bit earlier at 26. But how do Hall of Famers compare to this? Won't they have a much longer career and a much longer peak?

Fantasy Theory: Running Back Peak Age

Now that we know receivers peak around age 25-27 , what can we say about Running Backs?

Fantasy Theory: Do teams with a bad defense pass more?

Sometimes for fantasy purposes it can be quite interesting to have a QB or WR on a bad team that gets behind a lot, and is forced to throw a lot. But is this somewhat predictable? Can we find a correlation?

Fantasy Theory: Receiver Peak Age

At what age do receivers start to decline? Can you still safely draft WRs of 30 and older?

Fantasy Theory: Plays of > 40 yards

What players (and what type of players) get plays of 40+ yards? If you play in a league that has bonus points for long plays, you may be interested in this.